Food for Agile Thought 553: Dangerous Agile Myths, Produce Evidence Quality, Running Experiments, Playing Politics?

Food for Agile Thought 553: Dangerous Agile Myths, Produce Evidence Quality, Running Experiments, Playing Politics?

TL; DR: Dangerous Agile Myths โ€” Food for Agile Thought #553

Welcome to the 553rd edition of the Food for Agile Thought newsletter, shared with 35,462 peers. This week, Henrik Mรฅrtensson dismantles seven dangerous Agile myths, showing that fat-tailed cycle-time data invalidates the use of story points. Teresa Torres and Petra Wille question whether support tickets can replace story-based interviews, while Roman Pichler pushes visions beyond feature lists toward purpose. Turning to AI, Laura Summers finds LLM-assisted coding replaces building satisfaction with supervision fatigue, Benedict Evans sees foundation models becoming commodities, and Satya Nadella urges firms to own their learning loops before providers capture proprietary knowledge.

Next, John Cutler reframes software assets through a portfolio lens, asking whether AI makes you faster or moves you faster in the wrong direction. George Sivulka and Arvind Narayanan both place the bottleneck in management, not model capability. On the human side, Sean Goedecke redefines engineering politics as knowing who holds power and making contributions visible, while Steven Sinofsky compares Chicago Law Schoolโ€™s AI ban to Harvardโ€™s 1982 computer ban, arguing such restrictions never last.

Lastly, Pavel Samsonov argues that product empathy rings hollow without respect, a gap LLMs deepen by pushing error correction onto users. Thomas Squeo and Matt Kamelman trace enterprise AI failure to missing governance, not weak models. Susan MacKenty Brady, Stuart Kliman, and Leslie Smith name four leadership traps quietly eroding trust. Finally, Dave Rooney rethinks story slicing when AI handles large tasks, and Tristan Kromer notes AI accelerates experiments but cannot pick the right question.

Food for Agile Thought 553: Dangerous Agile Myths, Produce Evidence Quality, Running Experiments, Playing Politics? Age-of-Product.com


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๐Ÿ† The Tip of the Week

Henrik Mรฅrtensson: Dangerous Myths and Misconceptions about Agile Software Development

Henrik Mรฅrtensson tackles seven persistent agile myths, including ‘agile is a mindset,’ ‘the manifesto contains all you need,’ and ‘Agile equals Scrum.’ Using real project data, they show that estimates and story points fail because software development cycle times follow fat-tailed distributions rather than normal ones. Skills beat slogans.

๐ŸŽฏ Product

Teresa Torres and Petra Wille: ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Quality of Evidence

Teresa Torres and Petra Wille discuss why not all product evidence is equal: low-effort signals, like support tickets, can feel informative but rarely tell teams what to build without story-based interviews.

Roman Pichler: How to Create a Truly Inspiring Product Vision

Roman Pichler suggests that product visions fail when they describe features or business goals instead of stating a true purpose, and recommends using emotionally resonant language co-created in collaborative workshops.

Pavel A. Samsonov: Empathy and delight mean nothing when the software is disrespectful

Pavel Samsonov suggests that empathy and delight in product design ring hollow without respect, and that LLMs amplify this problem by removing user control and shifting the burden of error-checking onto people.

John Cutler: Incubate, Compound, Refinance, Liquidate

John Cutler proposes a portfolio lens for software assets (incubate, compound, refinance, liquidate) and suggests the real AI question is not whether it makes you faster, but in which direction.

๐Ÿง  Artificial Intelligence

(via Pydantic): The Human-in-the-Loop is Tired

Laura Summers proposes that LLM-assisted programming is both useful and destabilizing: it automates the satisfying parts of coding while replacing them with the exhausting cognitive load of supervising mostly-correct output.

Benedict Evans: Ways to think about token pricing

Benedict Evans proposes that every visible market dynamic points toward foundation models becoming low-margin commodity infrastructure, and that sustainable pricing power would require something to change we cannot yet see.

George Sivulka (via Andreessen Horowitz): The Next AI Goldrush: Tokens, Loops, and Neofirms โ€”ย You just hired a million bad employees.

George Sivulka proposes that AI agent workforces fail the same way human ones do: most token spend is wasted on loops, and the real bottleneck is management, not model capability.

Arvind Narayanan: What will be left for us to work on?

Arvind Narayanan proposes that AI is transformative but will not replace workers anytime soon, as real bottlenecks lie in organizational adaptation, reliability gaps, and evaluation, not in model capability alone.

(via ThoughtWorks): The operating system for enterprise AI

Thomas Squeo and Matt Kamelman propose that enterprise AI fails not because of weak models but because organizations lack an ‘organizational harness’: the governance layer to delegate, control, and learn from agentic work at scale.

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AI4Agile BootCamp #8, August 27 โ€“ September 17, 2026 โ€” Berlin-Product-People.com

Learn more: ๐Ÿ–ฅ ๐Ÿ’ฏ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง AI4Agile BootCamp #8, August 27 โ€“ September 17, 2026.

Customer Voice: โ€œLast week, I finished the ๐—”๐—œ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—”๐—ด๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ course. And Iโ€™m mutatingโ€ฆ It started on the train. I was scrolling through my messages, half-distracted, when a newsletter from Stefan Wolpers popped up. Stefan, a deep thinker with a hands-on attitude, was launching a new course. A pilot cohort. The mission: explore how AI can actually support us as agile practitioners. I couldnโ€™t resist. I tapped: โ€œ๐˜š๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑโ€. What followed were four bi-weekly sessions. Four intense afternoons. Full of exploration, experimentation, and practice. [โ€ฆ] At the beginning, Stefan said that ๐˜ซ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ถ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜บ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด. That sounded like a big statement. But somewhere along the way, I noticed a shiftโ€ฆ an emerging superpower in how I approach my tasks with AI.โšกAnd now, as my AI-mutation continues, I catch myself wondering: ๐Ÿ’ญ ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ธ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ด๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ?โ€ (Ilya Zaytsev, Leading Agility at HUGO BOSS.)

โžฟ Agile & Leadership

Satya Nadella: The Reverse Information Paradox

Satya Nadella warns that enterprises risk leaking proprietary knowledge to AI providers through everyday usage and proposes that firms must control their own learning loops, evals, and model outputs to protect their competitive edge.

(via Harvard Business Review): 4 Hidden Traps of Team Dynamics

Susan MacKenty Brady, Stuart Kliman, and Leslie Smith identify four leadership traps that silently erode trust in diverse teams: certainty, saying one thing while doing another, emotional reactivity, and self-justification.

Sean Goedecke: What does ‘playing politics’ mean for software engineers?

Sean Goedecke proposes that ‘playing politics’ for software engineers is not about scheming but about knowing who holds power, avoiding unnecessary conflicts with them, and making your contributions visible to the right people.

๐Ÿ“ฏ You Already Have an AI Working Agreement. Write It Down.

Your team already has rules for using AI. Some live in templates, some in habits, exceptions, and one personโ€™s memory. The AI Working Agreement puts the decisions that matter in one place: what the team delegates to AI, what stays human, what must be reviewed, what never enters a model, who owns which workflow, and how the agreement changes. Write it, and a new colleague can read your teamโ€™s AI decisions on their first day, while the decisions stay when someone leaves.

You Already Have an AI Working Agreement. Write It Down to Turn Scattered AI Decisions into an Inspectable Artifact - Age-of-Product.com

Thesis: Team-level AI governance fails more from uncodified judgment than from missing policies. The AI Working Agreement turns scattered AI decisions into one inspectable artifact, so a team can onboard people, survive departures, and challenge its own habits before those habits harden into risk.

Learn more: You Already Have an AI Working Agreement. Write It Down.

๐Ÿ›  Concepts, Practices, Tools & Measuring

Steven Sinofsky: Banning AI in Law School: We’ve Seen This Before

Steven Sinofsky draws parallels between Chicago Law School’s recent ban on AI and Harvardโ€™s 1982 ban on computers, and suggests that preemptive restrictions on transformative tools have never survived contact with reality.

Dave Rooney: Rethinking ‘Small’

Dave Rooney suggests that AI coding tools change the story-slicing calculus: when inputs and outputs are well known, one large story delivered with LLM help can beat twelve thin slices.

Tristan Kromer (via Kromatic): Before You Run the Experiment, Pick the Right Question

Tristan Kromer proposes that AI can accelerate the running of experiments, but cannot choose the right question to test. Picking the wrong question remains the single most common reason founders get useless data.

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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Sep 30-Oct 1, 2026 Professional Scrum Product Owner Training (PSPO I; German; Live Virtual Class) Live Virtual Class โ‚ฌ999 incl. 19% VAT (If applicable.)

See all upcoming classes here.

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You can book your seat for the training directly by following the corresponding links to the ticket shop. If the procurement process of your organization requires a different purchasing process, please contact Berlin Product People GmbH directly.

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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ Last Weekโ€™s Food for Agile Thought Edition

Read more: Food for Agile Thought 552: AI Creates Jobs? Product Roadmaps & Leader Anxiety, Overthinkers, Measuring โ‰  Learning.

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