Polymarket odds jump to 85% for July Fed hold as UK CPI focus cools hikes

Ahead of the next UK CPI release, a new report argued the data could ease pressure for further Bank of England rate hikes, showing how inflation prints can quickly reshape policy expectations. (Read More)
Polymarket odds hold 55% for US–Iran ceasefire by Aug. 31 after nuke news

A report says President Donald Trump approved a long-term Saudi civilian nuclear agreement that could allow uranium enrichment, with an announcement possible as soon as Wednesday. (Read More)
Polymarket odds for Hormuz normal traffic drop to 54% after Iran strike reports

Reports said the US military carried out an eleventh straight night of strikes on Iran, with blasts near Tabriz and air defenses active around Tehran, aimed at limiting threats to Strait of Hormuz (Read More)