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Day: July 20, 2026

Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod as oil tops $90

Crude prices topped $90 after a report tied the move to escalating Middle East fighting and heightened conflict risk. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket odds put Lula at 59.5% in Brazil race after 10-point jump

After President Donald Trump’s televised address revived 2020 election claims, a report highlights conflicting answers from Energy Secretary Chris Wright and DNI nominee Jay Clayton, despite audits (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalizing by year-end slide to 52.5%

U.S. forces struck Iran for a ninth consecutive night, Central Command said, heightening uncertainty around regional shipping and timelines. (Read More) ​ 

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