Polymarket odds: Farage holds 95% in Clacton by-election market
Sen. Markwayne Mullin said federal authorities are actively pursuing a threat tied to a World Cup fan festival, signaling an ongoing security response. (Read More)
Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%
U.S. average gas prices climbed back above $4 as Washington intensified airstrikes against Iran and Iran attacked U.S. (Read More)
Polymarket odds imply no Fed cuts in 2026 at 85% after AI risk-off note
A technical-analysis note said the AI trade’s bounce may be a head fake after a nearly 19% pullback in an AI-themed ETF, with weekly momentum turning bearish and more downside possible. (Read More)
Polymarket odds: China–Taiwan clash before 2027 slips to 7.3% Yes
A “Future-ready wealth strategies” topic page compiling rolling “Latest News and Updates” was the newest attached item, offering no discrete cross-strait military development. (Read More)
Polymarket prices Syrskyi exit by Dec 31 at 95% as OSCE visits Kyiv
OSCE permanent representatives arrived in Kyiv after another massive Russian attack to witness the damage, as Ruslan Stefanchuk and Volodymyr Zelensky pressed allies for faster air-defense support. (Read More)
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic back to normal by 2026? Yes odds slide to 54.5%
A July report said petrol and oil prices jumped as US–Iran tensions flared, with limited weekend transits and tanker incidents near Oman raising alarms about Strait of Hormuz shipping. (Read More)
Polymarket odds flat: RFK Jr. 49% for 2028 GOP nod as Trump news fades
Ontario’s premier publicly urged Donald Trump to stop wildfire-related insults and instead help allies, highlighting the dispute’s tone rather than any 2028 shift. (Read More)
Polymarket odds: Newsom slips to 19.85% in 2028 Dem nominee market
In Maine, chatter after Platner’s exit said Troy Jackson is poised to take over the baton, highlighting a near-term local leadership handoff. (Read More)
Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 16% after Duma exile bill push
Russia’s State Duma is set to fast-track a bill midweek that would curb exiled anti-war Russians’ access to online banking, property deals, and consular services, pending Putin’s signature. (Read More)
Polymarket: Vance tops 2028 odds at 19.85% as El-Sayed transcript hits
A full transcript featuring Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed was published, giving traders new searchable messaging to weigh without changing settlement rules. (Read More)