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Day: July 19, 2026

Polymarket odds slip to 48.5% for US–Iran ceasefire by Aug. 31

After two US service members were killed in Jordan, the US military launched new airstrikes on Iran targeting Revolutionary Guard-linked infrastructure as strike exchanges continued and the Strait of (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 19% on $17.8M

Overnight, nearly 50 drones reportedly targeted Russia’s Moscow region, igniting fires at an oil depot in Noginsk and a Wildberries logistics site in Elektrostal. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket odds for US-Iran invasion by 2027 jump to 31.5% on $44.6M

On July 18, 2026, a World Cup 2026 video roundup previewed an Argentina–Spain final with comments from Messi and Rodri. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket prices Starmer exit-before-2027 at 99.4% on $66.9M volume

A rolling elections news roundup this week pushed fresh leadership-turnover headlines across multiple jurisdictions. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket keeps Messi at 90.6% for Golden Ball after Mbappe Golden Boot lead

France’s Kylian Mbappe scored twice in the third-place match to go two goals ahead of Lionel Messi, with both tied on four assists ahead of Argentina vs Spain in the final. (Read More) ​ 

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