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Day: July 16, 2026

Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M trades

A market note said gold fell as Iran-related tensions eased inflation-risk fears, boosting the dollar and reviving talk the Fed could stay hawkish. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket prices 99% ‘No’ on Hormuz traffic normalizing by July 31

Iran’s army claimed it launched a drone attack on US military sites in Jordan, adding a new security flashpoint for the region. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 17% after Arizona election settlement

Maricopa County election officials agreed to a joint oversight framework after mediation, setting an interim plan for the July 21 primary as early voting began in late June. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket odds of Trump out before 2027 tick up to 7.5% on Iran headline

A report attributed to Trump said Iran released an American detainee as U.S.-Iran tensions escalated, a headline some see as a near-term political-risk catalyst. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds

A new research note titled “Chinese Yuan: Upside bias against US Dollar” pitches near-term CNY strength versus USD, framed as an FX tilt rather than a Fed forecast. (Read More) ​ 

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights Tokyo

Tokyo’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara said Japan is concerned about a US campaign targeting the ICC, underscoring its rule-of-law stance even as it relies on US security. (Read More) ​ 

NVIDIA DeepStream 9.1 Adds Multi-Camera 3D Tracking

NVIDIA DeepStream 9.1 introduces multi-camera 3D tracking and automated calibration tools, accelerating vision AI applications for industrial use. (Read More) ​ 

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