US strikes on Iran hit Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes drops to 58.5%

On July 8, 2026, the United States launched new strikes on Iran during the seven-day funeral of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, citing attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz. (Read More)
Netanyahu warns on Turkey F-35s as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40%

In a CNN interview, Benjamin Netanyahu said he warned Donald Trump that a U.S. sale of F-35 jets to Turkey could upset the Middle East balance of power. (Read More)