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Day: July 1, 2026

Moskowitz poll stirs 2028 chatter as Polymarket prices Vance at 19.85%

A new survey shows Rep. Jared Moskowitz up 32 points in Florida’s 25th District Democratic primary, an early signal of intraparty strength ahead of voting. (Read More) ​ 

Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%

Kiros unseated Colorado Rep. Diana DeGette, ending her 15-term run in a rare Democratic incumbent loss that’s fueling 2028 speculation about shifting coalitions. (Read More) ​ 

Iran-Oman Hormuz transit fee talks hit odds: Polymarket sees 85.5% No

A new report says Iran and Oman are advancing plans to impose transit fees on ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz, despite U.S. opposition. (Read More) ​ 

Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%

In Colorado’s Democratic primary for secretary of state, progressive Gonzalez beat Danielson to win the party nomination. (Read More) ​ 

Crypto rebound lifts risk focus as Polymarket sees 78% odds of 0 Fed cuts

Stellar and Pyth Network extended a rebound even as the broader crypto market stayed stressed, offering a rare bright spot in a risk-off tape. (Read More) ​ 

BNB Beacon Chain Recovery Tool Goes Self-Service July 1

BNB Beacon Chain token recovery enters Phase 3 on July 1, 2026, transitioning to a self-service tool for users holding BEP2/BEP8 tokens. (Read More) ​ 

Fox poll chatter lifts Lula to 55.5% on Polymarket Brazil 2026 market

Bret Baier flagged a Fox News Channel poll showing Sen. Susan Collins up 3% in Maine and voters “extremely motivated,” spotlighting how tight margins can shift narratives. (Read More) ​ 

US lifts Anthropic export curbs as Polymarket best-model odds slip to 83.5%

In a letter to Anthropic cofounder Tom Brown, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said licenses are no longer required to export Mythos 5 and Fable 5 after a Commerce Department agreement. (Read More) ​ 

Algeria heads to July 2 vote as Polymarket keeps Qatar at 47.5% for talks

On July 2, Algerians head to the polls to choose 407 lawmakers, with low turnout expected and reforms since the 2019 Hirak movement still contested. (Read More) ​ 

Trump crypto disclosure nudges Polymarket US-Iran deal odds to 45.5%

A US Office of Government Ethics report released this week detailed President Donald Trump’s 2025 financial disclosures, including over $1.4 billion tied to crypto ventures and meme coin sales. (Read More) ​ 

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