Letlow primary win shifts Iran-entry market as Polymarket puts Senators at 55%

Trump-backed Letlow won the Republican primary for Sen. Bill Cassidy’s U.S. Senate seat, reinforcing Trump’s sway in GOP nominations and keeping Capitol Hill in focus. (Read More)
Adorni quits in Milei graft storm as Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 41.6%

On Saturday, Javier Milei’s cabinet chief Manuel Adorni resigned as prosecutors probe alleged illicit enrichment tied to lavish spending and property. (Read More)
US strikes Iran again after Hormuz tanker hit; Polymarket sees 99.95% by Aug 31

On the second day of renewed action, the U.S. struck Iranian surveillance, air-defense, and drone sites after the Panama-flagged tanker Kiku was hit in the Strait of Hormuz around 4:30 a.m. ET. (Read More)
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%

On the second straight day of attacks, the U.S. military said it struck multiple targets in Iran as a ceasefire came under strain. (Read More)