S & P reaffirms US AA+ as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 80.5%
On June 27, 2026, S & P affirmed the United States’ AA+ sovereign credit rating and kept its outlook stable. (Read More)
Zelensky sets NATO agenda as Polymarket puts Crimea recapture odds at 12.5%
Ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara, President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine will prioritize air defense, energy resilience, EU integration, and pressure on Russia, after securing 160 recovery deals (Read More)
Iran strike report lifts Polymarket Hormuz normalization odds to 31.5%
A report said Iran targeted U.S. military positions in retaliation for earlier American airstrikes, raising fears of wider escalation and shipping disruptions. (Read More)
Colorado Dem governor race grabs attention as Bardella holds 25.5% on Polymarket
A new report spotlighted the emerging Colorado Democratic governor primary, contrasting Phil Weiser and Michael Bennet on priorities and positioning. (Read More)
Trump headlines nudge Polymarket: 11.5% odds Putin exits by end-2026
In a June 26 news roundup, President Donald Trump warned “godless communists” are taking over the Democratic Party and hinted at consequences for Iran, while a U.S.-backed Israel-Lebanon framework (Read More)
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%
Reports said the United States carried out strikes in Iran after an attack on a cargo ship, and Iran’s Revolutionary Guards threatened a response. (Read More)