GOP affordability feud hits headlines as Polymarket’s Newsom slips to 20.65%
Former President Donald Trump is facing pressure on his affordability pitch as Republicans clash over the SAVE America Act, complicating efforts to keep cost-of-living front and center. (Read More)
Trump taps Schroyer for ICE as Polymarket odds favor zero Fed cuts in 2026
On Tuesday, President Donald Trump said he will nominate former Oklahoma state trooper Lance Schroyer to lead ICE as the agency expands after a $75 billion funding boost. (Read More)
CENTCOM confirms new US strikes as Polymarket puts Iran shipping hit at 99%
On June 27, U.S. Central Command confirmed new U.S. strikes, saying Iran had a chance to honor a ceasefire but chose not to. (Read More)
Chernihiv drone strike lifts Polymarket Ukraine-Crimea recapture odds to 14%
Overnight in Chernihiv, Russian drone debris damaged a school complex and shattered nearby apartment windows, injuring two people, city officials said. (Read More)
Katz warns force vs Iran as Polymarket puts Dec 2026 US-Iran deal at 43.5%
Israel Defense Minister Israel Katz said Israel would use “force” against Iran if Tehran blocks implementation of a Lebanon deal, highlighting risks of escalation. (Read More)
Report on Trump-era civil rights cuts lifts Polymarket Vance to 19.25%
A new report found Trump-era civil rights cutbacks are pushing student-rights disputes into uneven state rules, agencies, and courts as federal enforcement recedes. (Read More)
Fireblocks Rolls Out 90-Day Plan for Embedded Wallets
Fireblocks unveils a 90-day roadmap to turn embedded wallets into fully-fledged financial products with yield, payments, and automation. (Read More)
US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds down to 5%
After a drone attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Central Command released video it said showed strikes on Iranian missile, drone, and coastal radar sites. (Read More)
Gulf security flares pull Polymarket odds to 75% on U.S. House trip to Iran
After U.S. airstrikes, Iranian drones reportedly hit Bahrain and a ship was struck in the strait, adding fresh escalation risk around Gulf routes. (Read More)
Iran rejects US Hormuz hotline as Polymarket sees just 3.55% for normal traffic
Iran’s IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebi said a proposed US-Iran Strait of Hormuz hotline “has not happened and will not happen,” as reports described renewed fire and a ship hit late Thursday. (Read More)