Iowa pesticide ruling fuels politics as Polymarket 2028 GOP odds flat
A court decision on pesticides has heightened the stakes in Iowa’s governor race, forcing candidates to sharpen positions on farm regulation and environmental oversight. (Read More)
Supreme Court border ruling as Polymarket raises Putin exit odds to 9.5%
On Thursday, the U.S. Supreme Court voted 6-3 to lift a lower-court block on an asylum-limiting border practice the Trump administration could revive. (Read More)
House Dem election-threats forum nudges Bardella down to 24.5% on Polymarket
On June 25, 2026, House Democrats hosted a live forum on threats to elections, spotlighting concerns about voting risks. (Read More)
Anthropic-Alibaba Claude dispute lifts Polymarket lead to 85.5%
In a June 10 letter to Senators Tim Scott and Elizabeth Warren, Anthropic accused Alibaba-linked operators of running 28.8 million Claude exchanges via 25,000 fraudulent accounts from April 22 to (Read More)
Supreme Court asylum win boosts 2028 chatter as Polymarket keeps Vance at 20%
On 2026-06-25, the Supreme Court backed Donald Trump on stricter asylum rules, reinforcing tougher immigration enforcement arguments. (Read More)
Hormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%
A maritime agency said a vessel was hit by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz, underscoring ongoing security risks in the vital shipping corridor. (Read More)
Scotland routed by Brazil as Polymarket pegs Iraq group exit at 98%
After Scotland’s 3-0 loss to Brazil left them seventh among third-placed teams, Steve Clarke said he thinks they’re heading home as qualification hinges on other results. (Read More)
Inflation gauge hits 3-year high as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 77.5%
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge climbed to a new three-year high, keeping pressure on policymakers and muddying the near-term rate outlook. (Read More)
Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%
In May, the PCE inflation index rose to 4.1% year over year, its hottest in three years, keeping the Fed alert to another hike if price pressures persist. (Read More)
Bitcoin futures hit $58,995 as Polymarket tags 99% odds above $54K by June 27
Thursday’s bitcoin futures slide briefly pushed prices to $58,995, the weakest since October 2024, as options activity skewed toward puts. (Read More)