Warsh flags easy financing as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 78.5%
After the June 17, 2026 Fed meeting, Chair Kevin Warsh pointed to a Wall Street “gusher of capital” as equity and debt fundraising surged, tempering expectations for near-term cuts. (Read More)
Trump floats Hormuz tolls as Polymarket Petro-out odds slip to 51.5%
This week, President Donald Trump said the U.S. could impose tolls in the Strait of Hormuz if a peace deal with Iran fails, even as officials disputed whether Iran has shut the route. (Read More)
AP-NORC Iran poll dents Trump as Polymarket keeps Vance atop 2028 race
June 11-17 AP-NORC polling found 65% of U.S. adults disapprove of Trump’s handling of Iran, with his overall approval at 37% and unchanged since May. (Read More)
Warsh drops forward guidance as Polymarket pegs 2026 zero cuts at 79.85%
At his first press conference as Fed chair, Kevin Warsh cut back on forward guidance and said the latest statement offered no hints on the next move, sparking volatile trading. (Read More)
Iran, US clash on Hormuz status as Polymarket prices 58.5% No by July 31
Iran’s joint military command said the Strait of Hormuz was closed, while U.S. Vice President JD Vance said Washington sees no evidence of a shutdown and believes it remains open. (Read More)
Pudgy Penguins Expands Retail Reach With Target Card Launch
Pudgy Penguins launches Vibes Series 3 trading cards at Target, marking a major step in its evolution from NFTs to mainstream entertainment. (Read More)
Warsh hints at quieter Fed as Polymarket keeps SpaceX 86.5% for top 2026 IPO
In his first press conference this week, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh joked about launching five task forces and declined to offer forward guidance, hinting at a return to less Fed communication. (Read More)
AI data center debt sharpens rate focus as Polymarket sees July hold at 78.5%
On Wednesday, Fed chair Kevin Warsh held his first press conference as tech giants ramped debt-funded AI data center spending, with the 10-year yield near 4.45%. (Read More)
Starmer leadership turmoil as Polymarket lifts Lula to 51.5% in Brazil race
Over the weekend, talk inside Labour that Keir Starmer would stay to fight a leadership challenge faded, raising expectations Britain could soon see its seventh prime minister in 10 years. (Read More)
AAVE Price Prediction: Long Squeeze Risk Looms as Sellers Dominate the Tape — $69 in Play Within Days
AAVE at $74.87 looks calm on the surface, but the combination of a dead MACD, overbought Stochastic, heavy long crowding, and a taker sell ratio running 1.5:1 against buyers suggests the relief ral… (Read More)