Burnham’s by-election win coincides with Lula rising to 51.5% on Polymarket
On Friday in northwest England, Andy Burnham won the Makerfield by-election with nearly 55% of the vote, boosting talk of a Labour leadership challenge to Keir Starmer. (Read More)
Hormuz shipping resumes after ceasefire as Polymarket 2028 GOP odds stay flat
On Friday, Brent crude climbed to $80.38 as at least four tankers entered the Strait of Hormuz after an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, despite Iran signaling tighter transit controls. (Read More)
Hormuz tanker traffic resumes as Polymarket Yes odds rise to 2.7%
After the U.S. lifted its blockade on Iran Thursday, shipping resumed through the Strait of Hormuz and Brent fell 1% to $79.03, lifting Japan and South Korea stocks to records. (Read More)
Oil eases as Hormuz reopens, Polymarket puts July traffic normal at 47%
U.S.-Iran follow-up talks in Switzerland were called off, and oil prices swung even as tankers carrying over 12 million barrels crossed the Strait of Hormuz overnight. (Read More)
Japan inflation cools as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 72.5%
In May, Japan’s core CPI rose 1.4% year over year and stayed below the BOJ’s 2% target for a fourth month, even after this week’s rate hike to a 31-year high. (Read More)
ETF outflows after Fed update, Polymarket puts BTC above $54K at 99.9%
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $82.2 million in net outflows on June 17 after the Fed, under new Chair Kevin Warsh, held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% and sounded less supportive on risk. (Read More)
Johor election turns on affordability as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%
Johor’s Jul. 11 state election is being shaped by housing and cost-of-living strains, despite the state’s 6.4% GDP growth in 2024 and record RM110 billion in approved investments this year. (Read More)
Postponed US-Iran talks push Polymarket to 13.5% on ending enrichment by July
European stocks slipped after Tehran and Washington postponed talks, while JD Vance said any economic relief hinges on full compliance and Iran’s supreme leader called the interim terms conditional. (Read More)